Bitcoin Power Law
Bitcoin's price has followed a power law in days since the genesis block (3 January 2009). The line is refit on the full history, and the corridor is the 5th and 95th percentile of the log residuals.
As of Oct 10, 2026
34.5% below the trend (0.6 standard deviations)
Spot price$82,562
Trend fair value$126,107
- Price
- Power law
- Support
- Top
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Trend prices
| Date | Trend | Support | Top |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2027 | $135,085 | $49,920 | $473,373 |
| Jan 1, 2028 | $180,978 | $66,880 | $634,197 |
| Jan 1, 2029 | $239,031 | $88,333 | $837,629 |
| Jan 1, 2030 | $311,219 | $115,010 | $1,090,595 |
log10(price) = -15.5273 + 5.4111 × log10(days) · R² 0.975